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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

50%

AS Roma

2.02

30%

Draw

3.35

21%

Hellas Verona

4.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.17

0.80

Hellas Verona xG

50%
30%
21%
AS RomaDrawHellas Verona

2.02

50%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

4.86

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

45%

AS Roma

2.21

25%

Hellas Verona

3.97

Win to Nil

22%

AS Roma

4.47

5%

Hellas Verona

19.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 9.0 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 15.7 12.5 5.0 1.3 0.3
2 10.8 8.6 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 5.0 3.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.378
λ Away (xG) 0.795
Total xG 2.173
League avg home goals 1.183
League avg away goals 1.134
AS Roma attack strength 0.933
AS Roma defence strength 0.850
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.825
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.248
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42