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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

58%

AS Roma

1.73

26%

Draw

3.85

16%

Hellas Verona

6.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.59

0.83

Hellas Verona xG

58%
26%
16%
AS RomaDrawHellas Verona

1.73

58%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

6.20

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

43%

AS Roma

2.30

17%

Hellas Verona

5.79

Win to Nil

25%

AS Roma

3.98

3%

Hellas Verona

35.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 6.3 2.6 0.7 0.2
1 13.2 11.0 4.6 1.3 0.3
2 11.6 9.6 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 6.8 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
4 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.756
λ Away (xG) 0.834
Total xG 2.590
League avg home goals 1.246
League avg away goals 1.145
AS Roma attack strength 1.329
AS Roma defence strength 0.820
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.887
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70