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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 17 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

53%

AS Roma

1.88

28%

Draw

3.54

19%

Genoa

5.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.40

0.84

Genoa xG

53%
28%
19%
AS RomaDrawGenoa

1.88

53%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

5.37

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

43%

AS Roma

2.31

21%

Genoa

4.78

Win to Nil

23%

AS Roma

4.34

4%

Genoa

25.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 7.6 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 14.2 11.9 5.0 1.4 0.3
2 11.1 9.3 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 5.8 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.565
λ Away (xG) 0.836
Total xG 2.401
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.303
AS Roma attack strength 1.397
AS Roma defence strength 0.824
Genoa attack strength 0.778
Genoa defence strength 0.874
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58