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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

62%

AS Roma

1.62

24%

Draw

4.10

14%

Cagliari

7.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.79

0.84

Cagliari xG

62%
24%
14%
AS RomaDrawCagliari

1.62

62%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

7.14

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

43%

AS Roma

2.32

14%

Cagliari

6.97

Win to Nil

27%

AS Roma

3.77

2%

Cagliari

49.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 5.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.0 10.1 4.3 1.2 0.3
2 11.6 9.8 4.1 1.2 0.2
3 7.5 6.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.7 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.942
λ Away (xG) 0.843
Total xG 2.785
League avg home goals 1.309
League avg away goals 1.217
AS Roma attack strength 1.431
AS Roma defence strength 0.818
Cagliari attack strength 0.846
Cagliari defence strength 1.037
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66