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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

48%

AS Roma

2.09

28%

Draw

3.62

24%

Bologna

4.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.50

1.00

Bologna xG

48%
28%
24%
AS RomaDrawBologna

2.09

48%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

4.08

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

37%

AS Roma

2.72

22%

Bologna

4.46

Win to Nil

18%

AS Roma

5.68

5%

Bologna

18.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 8.2 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 12.3 12.3 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.2 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.6 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.496
λ Away (xG) 1.001
Total xG 2.497
League avg home goals 1.200
League avg away goals 1.185
AS Roma attack strength 1.154
AS Roma defence strength 0.870
Bologna attack strength 0.970
Bologna defence strength 1.081
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38