Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

45%

AS Roma

2.23

27%

Draw

3.68

28%

AC Milan

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

AS Roma xG

Total xG

2.60

1.12

AC Milan xG

45%
27%
28%
AS RomaDrawAC Milan

2.23

45%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

33%

AS Roma

3.06

23%

AC Milan

4.42

Win to Nil

15%

AS Roma

6.81

6%

AC Milan

15.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 8.3 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.0 12.3 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.1 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.0 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.486
λ Away (xG) 1.119
Total xG 2.605
League avg home goals 1.207
League avg away goals 1.147
AS Roma attack strength 1.232
AS Roma defence strength 0.719
AC Milan attack strength 1.357
AC Milan defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74