Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Thu 8 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

55%

AC Milan

1.83

22%

Draw

4.54

23%

Genoa

4.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

AC Milan xG

Total xG

3.13

1.19

Genoa xG

55%
22%
23%
AC MilanDrawGenoa

1.83

55%

Home win

4.54

22%

Draw

4.31

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

30%

AC Milan

3.28

14%

Genoa

6.94

Win to Nil

17%

AC Milan

5.99

3%

Genoa

29.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.2 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 8.5 10.1 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.8 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.3 6.3 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.937
λ Away (xG) 1.189
Total xG 3.126
League avg home goals 1.160
League avg away goals 1.186
AC Milan attack strength 1.258
AC Milan defence strength 0.871
Genoa attack strength 1.152
Genoa defence strength 1.327
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56