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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

49%

AC Milan

2.02

28%

Draw

3.62

23%

Cremonese

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.44

0.94

Cremonese xG

49%
28%
23%
AC MilanDrawCremonese

2.02

49%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

39%

AC Milan

2.56

22%

Cremonese

4.49

Win to Nil

19%

AC Milan

5.18

5%

Cremonese

19.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 8.2 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.1 12.3 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.2 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.9 4.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.502
λ Away (xG) 0.941
Total xG 2.443
League avg home goals 1.200
League avg away goals 1.185
AC Milan attack strength 1.089
AC Milan defence strength 0.934
Cremonese attack strength 0.850
Cremonese defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0