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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

53%

AC Milan

1.88

29%

Draw

3.49

18%

Cagliari

5.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.35

0.81

Cagliari xG

53%
29%
18%
AC MilanDrawCagliari

1.88

53%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

5.51

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

45%

AC Milan

2.24

21%

Cagliari

4.67

Win to Nil

24%

AC Milan

4.22

4%

Cagliari

25.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 7.7 3.1 0.8 0.2
1 14.7 11.9 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.2 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 5.8 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.541
λ Away (xG) 0.808
Total xG 2.349
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.323
AC Milan attack strength 1.031
AC Milan defence strength 0.696
Cagliari attack strength 0.878
Cagliari defence strength 1.158
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 57