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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

46%

AC Milan

2.19

29%

Draw

3.44

25%

Bologna

3.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

AC Milan xG

Total xG

2.20

0.90

Bologna xG

46%
29%
25%
AC MilanDrawBologna

2.19

46%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

3.95

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

41%

AC Milan

2.46

27%

Bologna

3.69

Win to Nil

19%

AC Milan

5.39

7%

Bologna

14.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 9.9 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 14.4 12.9 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.4 8.4 3.8 1.1 0.3
3 4.1 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.305
λ Away (xG) 0.899
Total xG 2.204
League avg home goals 1.157
League avg away goals 1.119
AC Milan attack strength 1.114
AC Milan defence strength 0.946
Bologna attack strength 0.849
Bologna defence strength 1.012
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73