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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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St Patrick's Athl. cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Waterford.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

St Patrick's Athl. beat Waterford 0-2 at Regional Sports Centre, Regular Season - 26, in the Premier Division. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Waterford 1.40 xG and St Patrick's Athl. 1.08 xG, a combined 2.48. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Waterford fell 1.4 short of their projected output. St Patrick's Athl. outscored their 1.08 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Waterford attack 1.02 / defence 1.24 against St Patrick's Athl. attack 0.81 / defence 0.98, drawn from 61/61 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Waterford 44% | Draw 27% | St Patrick's Athl. 29%, with Waterford to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual St Patrick's Athl. win had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Waterford 56%, St Patrick's Athl. 51%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Waterford's trading profile (61 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 36% of games, a blank that repeated today.

St Patrick's Athl.'s trading profile (61 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Waterford 1.28 PPG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.49 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the St Patrick's Athl. win broke the near-deadlock. Waterford (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.33 scoring average — below par going forward. St Patrick's Athl. (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.03 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.20 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights