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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Regional Sports Centre

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

35%

Waterford

2.86

25%

Draw

3.95

40%

Derry City

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Waterford xG

Total xG

2.81

1.46

Derry City xG

35%
25%
40%
WaterfordDrawDerry City

2.86

35%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

23%

Waterford

4.30

26%

Derry City

3.87

Win to Nil

8%

Waterford

12.29

10%

Derry City

9.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.8 6.4 3.1 1.1 0.3
1 8.1 11.9 8.6 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 5.5 8.0 5.9 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.5 3.6 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.353
λ Away (xG) 1.458
Total xG 2.811
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 0.998
Waterford attack strength 0.982
Waterford defence strength 1.230
Derry City attack strength 1.187
Derry City defence strength 1.016
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69