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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Regional Sports Centre

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

19%

Waterford

5.18

26%

Draw

3.86

55%

Derry City

1.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

0 – 2

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.87

Waterford xG

Total xG

2.51

1.64

Derry City xG

19%
26%
55%
WaterfordDrawDerry City

5.18

19%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

1.82

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.11

52%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

19%

Waterford

5.14

42%

Derry City

2.39

Win to Nil

4%

Waterford

26.62

23%

Derry City

4.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 13.3 10.9 5.9 2.4 0.8
1 7.1 11.6 9.5 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 3.1 5.1 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.3
3 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.872
λ Away (xG) 1.637
Total xG 2.509
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.216
Waterford attack strength 0.712
Waterford defence strength 1.404
Derry City attack strength 0.959
Derry City defence strength 0.947
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47