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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 23 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Richmond Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

St Patrick's Athl. Win

55%

St Patrick's Athl.

1.82

24%

Draw

4.22

21%

Waterford

4.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

St Patrick's Athl. xG

Total xG

2.72

0.99

Waterford xG

55%
24%
21%
St Patrick's Athl.DrawWaterford

1.82

55%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

4.66

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

37%

St Patrick's Athl.

2.69

18%

Waterford

5.64

Win to Nil

20%

St Patrick's Athl.

4.90

4%

Waterford

26.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 6.5 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.4 11.3 5.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.9 9.8 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.7 5.6 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.5 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.730
λ Away (xG) 0.988
Total xG 2.718
League avg home goals 1.355
League avg away goals 1.136
St Patrick's Athl. attack strength 1.275
St Patrick's Athl. defence strength 0.902
Waterford attack strength 0.965
Waterford defence strength 1.001
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 52