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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Fri 28 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Richmond Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

St Patrick's Athl. Win

57%

St Patrick's Athl.

1.75

25%

Draw

3.98

18%

Sligo Rovers

5.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

St Patrick's Athl. xG

Total xG

2.33

0.75

Sligo Rovers xG

57%
25%
18%
St Patrick's Athl.DrawSligo Rovers

1.75

57%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

5.68

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

47%

St Patrick's Athl.

2.11

21%

Sligo Rovers

4.86

Win to Nil

27%

St Patrick's Athl.

3.69

4%

Sligo Rovers

27.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 15.4 11.5 4.3 1.1 0.2
2 12.2 9.1 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.4 4.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 2.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.581
λ Away (xG) 0.748
Total xG 2.329
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 0.956
St Patrick's Athl. attack strength 0.927
St Patrick's Athl. defence strength 0.868
Sligo Rovers attack strength 0.901
Sligo Rovers defence strength 1.271
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38