Most Likely Outcome
St Patrick's Athl. Win
67%
1.49
22%
4.60
11%
8.80
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
12.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
12.5%
Home win
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.06
St Patrick's Athl. xG
Total xG
2.80
0.74
Dundalk xG
St Patrick's Athl.DrawDundalk
1.49
67%
Home win
4.60
22%
Draw
8.80
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.14
53%
BTTS No
1.88
Clean Sheet
48%
2.10
13%
7.81
Win to Nil
32%
3.14
1%
68.72
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 12.5 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.9 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.055
λ Away (xG)
0.743
Total xG
2.798
League avg home goals
1.518
League avg away goals
1.306
St Patrick's Athl. attack strength
1.240
St Patrick's Athl. defence strength
0.604
Dundalk attack strength
0.942
Dundalk defence strength
1.092
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 24