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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 2 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Showgrounds

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sligo Rovers Win

38%

Sligo Rovers

2.64

28%

Draw

3.51

34%

Shelbourne

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Sligo Rovers xG

Total xG

2.28

1.10

Shelbourne xG

38%
28%
34%
Sligo RoversDrawShelbourne

2.64

38%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

33%

Sligo Rovers

3.00

31%

Shelbourne

3.26

Win to Nil

13%

Sligo Rovers

7.92

10%

Shelbourne

9.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 11.2 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.1 13.3 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 7.1 7.8 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.181
λ Away (xG) 1.097
Total xG 2.278
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.054
Sligo Rovers attack strength 0.953
Sligo Rovers defence strength 1.050
Shelbourne attack strength 0.991
Shelbourne defence strength 0.875
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61