Most Likely Outcome
Sligo Rovers Win
38%
2.60
24%
4.18
38%
2.66
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.7%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.4%
Home win
1 – 2
8.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.57
Sligo Rovers xG
Total xG
3.13
1.55
Shamrock Rovers xG
Sligo RoversDrawShamrock Rovers
2.60
38%
Home win
4.18
24%
Draw
2.66
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.60
37%
BTTS No
2.68
Clean Sheet
21%
4.74
21%
4.83
Win to Nil
8%
12.31
8%
12.85
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.9 | 10.7 | 8.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 8.4 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.575
λ Away (xG)
1.555
Total xG
3.130
League avg home goals
1.493
League avg away goals
1.050
Sligo Rovers attack strength
0.913
Sligo Rovers defence strength
1.246
Shamrock Rovers attack strength
1.189
Shamrock Rovers defence strength
1.156
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
41 / 41