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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 12 Jul 2025

19:45

Venue

Showgrounds

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

31%

Sligo Rovers

3.25

29%

Draw

3.43

40%

Derry City

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Sligo Rovers xG

Total xG

2.17

1.18

Derry City xG

31%
29%
40%
Sligo RoversDrawDerry City

3.25

31%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

31%

Sligo Rovers

3.25

37%

Derry City

2.70

Win to Nil

9%

Sligo Rovers

10.59

15%

Derry City

6.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 13.4 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 11.3 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 5.6 6.6 3.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.995
λ Away (xG) 1.180
Total xG 2.175
League avg home goals 1.415
League avg away goals 1.011
Sligo Rovers attack strength 0.888
Sligo Rovers defence strength 1.165
Derry City attack strength 1.002
Derry City defence strength 0.792
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59