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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Showgrounds

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sligo Rovers Win

50%

Sligo Rovers

2.01

27%

Draw

3.71

23%

Derry City

4.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Sligo Rovers xG

Total xG

2.67

1.04

Derry City xG

50%
27%
23%
Sligo RoversDrawDerry City

2.01

50%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

4.29

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

35%

Sligo Rovers

2.84

20%

Derry City

5.07

Win to Nil

17%

Sligo Rovers

5.72

5%

Derry City

21.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 7.2 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.3 11.8 6.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.6 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.9 5.2 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.624
λ Away (xG) 1.045
Total xG 2.669
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.024
Sligo Rovers attack strength 1.130
Sligo Rovers defence strength 1.183
Derry City attack strength 0.862
Derry City defence strength 1.120
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41