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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Mon 5 May 2025

17:00

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

46%

Shelbourne

2.16

29%

Draw

3.46

25%

Waterford

4.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.50

1.02

Waterford xG

46%
29%
25%
ShelbourneDrawWaterford

2.16

46%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

4.05

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

36%

Shelbourne

2.77

23%

Waterford

4.39

Win to Nil

17%

Shelbourne

5.98

6%

Waterford

17.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 8.4 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.2 12.4 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 9.2 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.4 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.479
λ Away (xG) 1.020
Total xG 2.499
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.189
Shelbourne attack strength 0.984
Shelbourne defence strength 0.926
Waterford attack strength 0.926
Waterford defence strength 1.092
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49