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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

16:30

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

43%

Shelbourne

2.30

31%

Draw

3.25

26%

St Patrick's Athl.

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.13

0.89

St Patrick's Athl. xG

43%
31%
26%
ShelbourneDrawSt Patrick's Athl.

2.30

43%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

41%

Shelbourne

2.44

29%

St Patrick's Athl.

3.45

Win to Nil

18%

Shelbourne

5.61

7%

St Patrick's Athl.

13.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 10.6 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.7 13.1 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.1 8.1 3.6 1.1 0.2
3 3.8 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.239
λ Away (xG) 0.891
Total xG 2.130
League avg home goals 1.335
League avg away goals 0.968
Shelbourne attack strength 1.137
Shelbourne defence strength 1.050
St Patrick's Athl. attack strength 0.876
St Patrick's Athl. defence strength 0.816
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71