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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

35%

Shelbourne

2.88

32%

Draw

3.08

33%

St Patrick's Athl.

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

1.91

0.94

St Patrick's Athl. xG

35%
32%
33%
ShelbourneDrawSt Patrick's Athl.

2.88

35%

Home win

3.08

32%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.63

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

39%

Shelbourne

2.55

38%

St Patrick's Athl.

2.64

Win to Nil

14%

Shelbourne

7.34

12%

St Patrick's Athl.

8.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.9 13.9 6.5 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.4 13.5 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 7.0 6.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
3 2.3 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.970
λ Away (xG) 0.935
Total xG 1.905
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.186
Shelbourne attack strength 0.876
Shelbourne defence strength 0.917
St Patrick's Athl. attack strength 0.860
St Patrick's Athl. defence strength 0.815
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50