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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

46%

Shelbourne

2.19

27%

Draw

3.74

28%

Sligo Rovers

3.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.47

1.05

Sligo Rovers xG

46%
27%
28%
ShelbourneDrawSligo Rovers

2.19

46%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.61

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

35%

Shelbourne

2.85

24%

Sligo Rovers

4.15

Win to Nil

16%

Shelbourne

6.25

7%

Sligo Rovers

14.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 8.9 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.0 12.6 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 9.0 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.1 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.422
λ Away (xG) 1.047
Total xG 2.469
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 0.998
Shelbourne attack strength 1.018
Shelbourne defence strength 1.037
Sligo Rovers attack strength 1.011
Sligo Rovers defence strength 1.030
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69