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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 23 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

45%

Shelbourne

2.22

27%

Draw

3.76

28%

Sligo Rovers

3.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.48

1.06

Sligo Rovers xG

45%
27%
28%
ShelbourneDrawSligo Rovers

2.22

45%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

3.54

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

35%

Shelbourne

2.89

24%

Sligo Rovers

4.12

Win to Nil

16%

Shelbourne

6.41

7%

Sligo Rovers

14.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 8.9 4.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 11.9 12.6 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 8.9 4.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.417
λ Away (xG) 1.062
Total xG 2.479
League avg home goals 1.355
League avg away goals 1.136
Shelbourne attack strength 0.856
Shelbourne defence strength 0.869
Sligo Rovers attack strength 1.077
Sligo Rovers defence strength 1.222
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 52