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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

17:00

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Galway United Win

33%

Shelbourne

3.01

30%

Draw

3.37

37%

Galway United

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.17

1.12

Galway United xG

33%
30%
37%
ShelbourneDrawGalway United

3.01

33%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

33%

Shelbourne

3.07

35%

Galway United

2.84

Win to Nil

11%

Shelbourne

9.24

13%

Galway United

7.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 12.8 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 12.0 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.3 7.0 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.2 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.045
λ Away (xG) 1.122
Total xG 2.167
League avg home goals 1.265
League avg away goals 1.256
Shelbourne attack strength 0.948
Shelbourne defence strength 0.820
Galway United attack strength 1.089
Galway United defence strength 0.872
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46