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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

41%

Shelbourne

2.42

33%

Draw

3.07

26%

Drogheda United

3.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.10

0.90

Drogheda United xG

41%
33%
26%
ShelbourneDrawDrogheda United

2.42

41%

Home win

3.07

33%

Draw

3.82

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

41%

Shelbourne

2.46

30%

Drogheda United

3.31

Win to Nil

17%

Shelbourne

5.97

8%

Drogheda United

12.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 11.0 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.7 13.2 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.8 7.9 3.6 1.1 0.2
3 3.5 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.198
λ Away (xG) 0.902
Total xG 2.100
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.053
Shelbourne attack strength 1.098
Shelbourne defence strength 0.998
Drogheda United attack strength 0.858
Drogheda United defence strength 0.771
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40