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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 20 Jun 2025

19:45

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

40%

Shelbourne

2.47

28%

Draw

3.53

31%

Derry City

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.29

1.05

Derry City xG

40%
28%
31%
ShelbourneDrawDerry City

2.47

40%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

35%

Shelbourne

2.86

29%

Derry City

3.45

Win to Nil

14%

Shelbourne

7.07

9%

Derry City

11.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 10.7 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.5 13.2 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.8 8.2 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.2 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.238
λ Away (xG) 1.051
Total xG 2.289
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 1.126
Shelbourne attack strength 0.989
Shelbourne defence strength 1.000
Derry City attack strength 0.933
Derry City defence strength 0.985
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 55