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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 14 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

39%

Shelbourne

2.60

33%

Draw

3.00

28%

Derry City

3.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.12

0.96

Derry City xG

39%
33%
28%
ShelbourneDrawDerry City

2.60

39%

Home win

3.00

33%

Draw

3.55

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

38%

Shelbourne

2.61

31%

Derry City

3.20

Win to Nil

15%

Shelbourne

6.78

9%

Derry City

11.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 11.5 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 13.9 13.4 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.1 7.8 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.162
λ Away (xG) 0.960
Total xG 2.122
League avg home goals 1.243
League avg away goals 1.025
Shelbourne attack strength 1.022
Shelbourne defence strength 0.977
Derry City attack strength 0.959
Derry City defence strength 0.915
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36