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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 4 Jul 2025

19:45

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

53%

Shelbourne

1.88

23%

Draw

4.28

23%

Cork City

4.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.88

1.10

Cork City xG

53%
23%
23%
ShelbourneDrawCork City

1.88

53%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

4.27

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

33%

Shelbourne

3.00

17%

Cork City

5.91

Win to Nil

18%

Shelbourne

5.64

4%

Cork City

25.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 6.2 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.0 11.0 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.3 5.8 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.776
λ Away (xG) 1.099
Total xG 2.875
League avg home goals 1.310
League avg away goals 1.045
Shelbourne attack strength 0.900
Shelbourne defence strength 1.050
Cork City attack strength 1.002
Cork City defence strength 1.506
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 22