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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

55%

Shelbourne

1.82

26%

Draw

3.78

19%

Cork City

5.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.56

0.89

Cork City xG

55%
26%
19%
ShelbourneDrawCork City

1.82

55%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

5.38

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

41%

Shelbourne

2.43

19%

Cork City

5.36

Win to Nil

23%

Shelbourne

4.41

3%

Cork City

28.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 6.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 12.9 11.4 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3
3 6.1 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.679
λ Away (xG) 0.886
Total xG 2.565
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.050
Shelbourne attack strength 1.024
Shelbourne defence strength 1.008
Cork City attack strength 0.837
Cork City defence strength 1.266
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 41 / 4