Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Tolka Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

41%

Shelbourne

2.42

30%

Draw

3.32

29%

Bohemians

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Shelbourne xG

Total xG

2.34

1.04

Bohemians xG

41%
30%
29%
ShelbourneDrawBohemians

2.42

41%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

35%

Shelbourne

2.83

27%

Bohemians

3.68

Win to Nil

15%

Shelbourne

6.84

8%

Bohemians

12.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 10.0 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.5 13.0 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.2 8.5 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.303
λ Away (xG) 1.040
Total xG 2.343
League avg home goals 1.214
League avg away goals 1.041
Shelbourne attack strength 1.015
Shelbourne defence strength 1.012
Bohemians attack strength 0.987
Bohemians defence strength 1.057
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44