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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Shamrock Rovers run riot with a 4-1 hammering of Cork City.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shamrock Rovers beat Cork City 4-1 at Tallaght Stadium, Regular Season - 20, in the Premier Division. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Shamrock Rovers 2.47 xG and Cork City 0.81 xG, a combined 3.28. The scoreboard read 4-1 for 5 actual goals. Shamrock Rovers beat their projection by 1.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Shamrock Rovers attack 1.34 / defence 0.75 against Cork City attack 0.96 / defence 1.44, drawn from 57/19 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Shamrock Rovers 74% | Draw 16% | Cork City 10%, with Shamrock Rovers to win its most likely call at 74%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Shamrock Rovers 49%, Cork City 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Shamrock Rovers's trading profile (37 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here.

Cork City's trading profile (37 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Shamrock Rovers arrived the stronger side — 1.73 PPG against 0.84. Form held, and they took the win. Shamrock Rovers (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.79 average — above their attacking norm. Cork City (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 2.42 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights