Most Likely Outcome
Galway United Win
44%
2.28
21%
4.85
35%
2.82
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 2
7.1%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
6.7%
Home win
1 – 2
6.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.36
Galway United xG
Total xG
4.49
2.13
Waterford xG
Galway UnitedDrawWaterford
2.28
44%
Home win
4.85
21%
Draw
2.82
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
94%
Over 1.5
1.06
6%
Under 1.5
16.67
83%
Over 2.5
1.20
17%
Under 2.5
5.88
66%
Over 3.5
1.52
34%
Under 3.5
2.94
47%
Over 4.5
2.13
53%
Under 4.5
1.89
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
80%
BTTS Yes
1.24
20%
BTTS No
5.12
Clean Sheet
12%
8.41
9%
10.61
Win to Nil
5%
19.13
3%
29.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 2.6 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 6.7 | 7.1 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.362
λ Away (xG)
2.129
Total xG
4.491
League avg home goals
1.518
League avg away goals
1.306
Galway United attack strength
1.105
Galway United defence strength
1.308
Waterford attack strength
1.246
Waterford defence strength
1.408
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
59 / 60