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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 22 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Eamonn Deacy Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Galway United Win

39%

Galway United

2.54

30%

Draw

3.31

30%

Derry City

3.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Galway United xG

Total xG

2.21

1.01

Derry City xG

39%
30%
30%
Galway UnitedDrawDerry City

2.54

39%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

3.29

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

36%

Galway United

2.76

30%

Derry City

3.31

Win to Nil

14%

Galway United

7.00

9%

Derry City

10.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 11.1 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 13.1 13.3 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.8 8.0 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.1 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.197
λ Away (xG) 1.015
Total xG 2.212
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.010
Galway United attack strength 0.968
Galway United defence strength 1.166
Derry City attack strength 0.863
Derry City defence strength 0.924
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63