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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Eamonn Deacy Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Galway United Win

40%

Galway United

2.53

34%

Draw

2.94

26%

Derry City

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Galway United xG

Total xG

1.78

0.77

Derry City xG

40%
34%
26%
Galway UnitedDrawDerry City

2.53

40%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.87

65%

BTTS No

1.54

Clean Sheet

46%

Galway United

2.16

36%

Derry City

2.75

Win to Nil

18%

Galway United

5.47

10%

Derry City

10.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.8 13.0 5.0 1.3 0.2
1 17.0 13.1 5.1 1.3 0.3
2 8.6 6.6 2.6 0.7 0.1
3 2.9 2.2 0.9 0.2
4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.012
λ Away (xG) 0.772
Total xG 1.784
League avg home goals 1.257
League avg away goals 1.081
Galway United attack strength 0.918
Galway United defence strength 0.881
Derry City attack strength 0.810
Derry City defence strength 0.877
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45