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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Mon 22 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Weavers Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

Drogheda United

3.21

36%

Draw

2.75

32%

Shelbourne

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.9%

Away win

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Drogheda United xG

Total xG

1.83

0.93

Shelbourne xG

31%
36%
32%
Drogheda UnitedDrawShelbourne

3.21

31%

Home win

2.75

36%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.65

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

40%

Drogheda United

2.52

41%

Shelbourne

2.46

Win to Nil

12%

Drogheda United

8.08

13%

Shelbourne

7.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1 14.9 6.9 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.5 13.4 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 6.5 6.1 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.902
λ Away (xG) 0.925
Total xG 1.827
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.042
Drogheda United attack strength 0.810
Drogheda United defence strength 0.845
Shelbourne attack strength 1.051
Shelbourne defence strength 0.830
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 65