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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 16 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Weavers Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Drogheda United Win

46%

Drogheda United

2.18

26%

Draw

3.91

28%

Derry City

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Drogheda United xG

Total xG

2.64

1.13

Derry City xG

46%
26%
28%
Drogheda UnitedDrawDerry City

2.18

46%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

32%

Drogheda United

3.10

22%

Derry City

4.53

Win to Nil

15%

Drogheda United

6.75

6%

Derry City

15.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 8.1 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.8 12.2 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.2 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.1 4.6 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.510
λ Away (xG) 1.132
Total xG 2.642
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 1.146
Drogheda United attack strength 1.112
Drogheda United defence strength 0.971
Derry City attack strength 1.017
Derry City defence strength 0.991
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51