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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 4 Jul 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

52%

Derry City

1.94

26%

Draw

3.78

22%

Waterford

4.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Derry City xG

Total xG

2.34

0.86

Waterford xG

52%
26%
22%
Derry CityDrawWaterford

1.94

52%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

4.54

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

42%

Derry City

2.37

23%

Waterford

4.38

Win to Nil

22%

Derry City

4.60

5%

Waterford

19.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 8.3 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 14.2 12.3 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.1 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 5.2 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.476
λ Away (xG) 0.863
Total xG 2.339
League avg home goals 1.310
League avg away goals 1.045
Derry City attack strength 1.141
Derry City defence strength 0.903
Waterford attack strength 0.915
Waterford defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58