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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

47%

Derry City

2.11

28%

Draw

3.55

24%

St Patrick's Athl.

4.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Derry City xG

Total xG

2.25

0.89

St Patrick's Athl. xG

47%
28%
24%
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athl.

2.11

47%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

4.08

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

41%

Derry City

2.44

26%

St Patrick's Athl.

3.88

Win to Nil

19%

Derry City

5.16

6%

St Patrick's Athl.

15.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 9.4 4.2 1.3 0.3
1 14.3 12.8 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 8.7 3.9 1.2 0.3
3 4.4 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.355
λ Away (xG) 0.893
Total xG 2.248
League avg home goals 1.326
League avg away goals 1.025
Derry City attack strength 1.201
Derry City defence strength 0.932
St Patrick's Athl. attack strength 0.934
St Patrick's Athl. defence strength 0.851
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64