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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Tue 22 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sligo Rovers Win

37%

Derry City

2.69

23%

Draw

4.34

40%

Sligo Rovers

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Derry City xG

Total xG

3.53

1.80

Sligo Rovers xG

37%
23%
40%
Derry CityDrawSligo Rovers

2.69

37%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.25

Clean Sheet

17%

Derry City

6.04

18%

Sligo Rovers

5.67

Win to Nil

6%

Derry City

16.23

7%

Sligo Rovers

14.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 5.2 4.7 2.8 1.3 0.5
1 5.1 9.1 8.2 4.9 2.2 0.8
2 4.4 7.9 7.1 4.3 1.9 0.7
3 2.5 4.6 4.1 2.5 1.1 0.4
4 1.1 2.0 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.736
λ Away (xG) 1.798
Total xG 3.534
League avg home goals 1.271
League avg away goals 1.248
Derry City attack strength 0.966
Derry City defence strength 1.105
Sligo Rovers attack strength 1.303
Sligo Rovers defence strength 1.414
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46