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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shelbourne Win

35%

Derry City

2.90

30%

Draw

3.39

36%

Shelbourne

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Derry City xG

Total xG

2.47

1.25

Shelbourne xG

35%
30%
36%
Derry CityDrawShelbourne

2.90

35%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

29%

Derry City

3.48

30%

Shelbourne

3.38

Win to Nil

10%

Derry City

10.09

11%

Shelbourne

9.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 10.6 6.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 10.3 12.9 8.1 3.4 1.0 0.3
2 6.3 7.9 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.6 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.219
λ Away (xG) 1.248
Total xG 2.467
League avg home goals 1.350
League avg away goals 1.212
Derry City attack strength 1.039
Derry City defence strength 0.975
Shelbourne attack strength 1.055
Shelbourne defence strength 0.869
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48