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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

43%

Derry City

2.31

30%

Draw

3.34

27%

Shamrock Rovers

3.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Derry City xG

Total xG

2.32

0.99

Shamrock Rovers xG

43%
30%
27%
Derry CityDrawShamrock Rovers

2.31

43%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.74

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

37%

Derry City

2.69

27%

Shamrock Rovers

3.77

Win to Nil

16%

Derry City

6.20

7%

Shamrock Rovers

14.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 9.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.1 12.9 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.6 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.8 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.328
λ Away (xG) 0.989
Total xG 2.317
League avg home goals 1.322
League avg away goals 0.953
Derry City attack strength 1.124
Derry City defence strength 0.970
Shamrock Rovers attack strength 1.070
Shamrock Rovers defence strength 0.894
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 69