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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 23 May 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

41%

Derry City

2.41

27%

Draw

3.66

31%

Shamrock Rovers

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Derry City xG

Total xG

2.42

1.10

Shamrock Rovers xG

41%
27%
31%
Derry CityDrawShamrock Rovers

2.41

41%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

33%

Derry City

3.01

27%

Shamrock Rovers

3.72

Win to Nil

14%

Derry City

7.27

8%

Shamrock Rovers

11.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 11.7 12.9 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.7 8.5 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.4 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.315
λ Away (xG) 1.103
Total xG 2.418
League avg home goals 1.355
League avg away goals 1.136
Derry City attack strength 1.064
Derry City defence strength 0.857
Shamrock Rovers attack strength 1.133
Shamrock Rovers defence strength 0.913
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 53