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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

33%

Derry City

3.04

35%

Draw

2.87

32%

Drogheda United

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Derry City xG

Total xG

1.84

0.91

Drogheda United xG

33%
35%
32%
Derry CityDrawDrogheda United

3.04

33%

Home win

2.87

35%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.68

63%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

40%

Derry City

2.49

40%

Drogheda United

2.52

Win to Nil

13%

Derry City

7.58

13%

Drogheda United

7.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.9 14.5 6.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.7 13.4 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 6.8 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.924
λ Away (xG) 0.913
Total xG 1.837
League avg home goals 1.214
League avg away goals 1.041
Derry City attack strength 1.008
Derry City defence strength 0.988
Drogheda United attack strength 0.887
Drogheda United defence strength 0.756
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44