Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 8 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

77%

Derry City

1.29

14%

Draw

7.38

9%

Cork City

11.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.1%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.85

Derry City xG

Total xG

3.75

0.90

Cork City xG

77%
14%
Derry CityDrawCork City

1.29

77%

Home win

7.38

14%

Draw

11.14

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

41%

Derry City

2.45

6%

Cork City

17.25

Win to Nil

32%

Derry City

3.16

1%

Cork City

192.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 6.7 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 9.6 8.6 3.9 1.2 0.3
3 9.1 8.2 3.7 1.1 0.2
4 6.5 5.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
5 3.7 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.848
λ Away (xG) 0.897
Total xG 3.745
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.070
Derry City attack strength 1.367
Derry City defence strength 0.970
Cork City attack strength 0.865
Cork City defence strength 1.503
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 26