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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 25 Jul 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

52%

Derry City

1.94

25%

Draw

4.03

24%

Bohemians

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Derry City xG

Total xG

2.62

1.01

Bohemians xG

52%
25%
24%
Derry CityDrawBohemians

1.94

52%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

37%

Derry City

2.74

20%

Bohemians

5.04

Win to Nil

19%

Derry City

5.30

5%

Bohemians

21.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.3 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.7 11.8 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.5 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.1 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 2.1 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.618
λ Away (xG) 1.007
Total xG 2.625
League avg home goals 1.430
League avg away goals 0.994
Derry City attack strength 1.392
Derry City defence strength 1.016
Bohemians attack strength 0.997
Bohemians defence strength 0.813
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60