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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

38%

Derry City

2.66

31%

Draw

3.19

31%

Bohemians

3.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Derry City xG

Total xG

2.28

1.07

Bohemians xG

38%
31%
31%
Derry CityDrawBohemians

2.66

38%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

3.22

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

34%

Derry City

2.92

30%

Bohemians

3.34

Win to Nil

13%

Derry City

7.77

9%

Bohemians

10.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 11.0 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.3 13.2 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.4 8.0 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.0 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.206
λ Away (xG) 1.073
Total xG 2.279
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.067
Derry City attack strength 1.015
Derry City defence strength 0.984
Bohemians attack strength 1.021
Bohemians defence strength 0.908
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37