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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Turners Cross

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cork City Win

36%

Cork City

2.74

28%

Draw

3.56

35%

Derry City

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Cork City xG

Total xG

2.43

1.21

Derry City xG

36%
28%
35%
Cork CityDrawDerry City

2.74

36%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.82

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

30%

Cork City

3.34

29%

Derry City

3.41

Win to Nil

11%

Cork City

9.17

10%

Derry City

9.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 10.6 6.4 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.8 13.0 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.6 8.0 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.7 3.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.227
λ Away (xG) 1.207
Total xG 2.434
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.186
Cork City attack strength 0.890
Cork City defence strength 1.100
Derry City attack strength 0.926
Derry City defence strength 1.015
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 50