Most Likely Outcome
Bohemians Win
44%
2.25
25%
3.93
30%
3.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.9%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
1 – 2
7.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.83
Bohemians xG
Total xG
3.32
1.49
Drogheda United xG
BohemiansDrawDrogheda United
2.25
44%
Home win
3.93
25%
Draw
3.32
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
42%
Over 3.5
2.38
58%
Under 3.5
1.72
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.50
34%
BTTS No
2.98
Clean Sheet
23%
4.43
16%
6.24
Win to Nil
10%
9.96
5%
20.75
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 9.9 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 9.0 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.831
λ Away (xG)
1.488
Total xG
3.319
League avg home goals
1.496
League avg away goals
1.212
Bohemians attack strength
0.918
Bohemians defence strength
1.035
Drogheda United attack strength
1.186
Drogheda United defence strength
1.333
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
52 / 51